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УДК: 614.4 DOI:10.33920/med-08-2111-01

Impact of wind speed on the COVID-19 incidence rate in the world

Krivosheev Vladimir Vasilievich PhD in Engineering, professor, leading analyst of the Autonomous Institution of the Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug-Yugra "Technopark of High Technologies", 19, Promyshlennaya str., Khanty-Mansiysk, 628011, e-mail: vvk_usu@mail.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8125-0890
Stolyarov Artem Igorevich PhD Candidate in Economics, director of the Autonomous Institution of the Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug-Yugra "Technopark of High Technologies", 19, Promyshlennaya str., Khanty-Mansiysk, 628011, e-mail: a.stolyarov@tp86.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2517-9775
Nikitina Lidiya Ur'evna doctor in Medicine, Pulmonologist of the Clinical and Diagnostic Center «MEDSI na Belorusskoj», Moscow, e-mail: Lidiya_nikitina@mail.ru, https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7722-5457

The COVID-19 pandemic daily claims tens of thousands of human lives and destabilizes the global economic situation, therefore, investigating patterns of the influence of external conditions on the morbidity trends won't lose its relevance for a long time. The article presents the findings of a study of the nature and degree of wind speed influence on the COVID-19 incidence rate on different continents. The correlation analysis made it possible to establish that wind speed has a significant impact on the COVID-19 incidence rate and this influence is closely related to the pollution level on the territory. With good air quality, an increase in wind speed is usually accompanied by an increase in the incidence rate due to the transfer of SARS-CoV-2 over a bigger distance. With satisfactory and poor air quality, an increase in wind speed more often leads to a decrease in the incidence rate due to a decrease in the concentration of pollutants. The main carriers of SARS-CoV-2 infection are particulate matter, with PM2.5 causing the greatest harm to the general health and the human immune system. The study findings help to understand that the physical meaning of the influence of wind speed on the incidence of COVID-19 and make it possible to predict the periods of the most dangerous conditions of infection.

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The COVID-19 pandemic daily claims tens of thousands of human lives and destabilizes the global economic situation, therefore, investigating patterns of the influence of external conditions on the morbidity trends won't lose its relevance for a long time.

When discussing the influence of the air condition on the COVID-19 dynamics, first of all, we talk about the temperature of ambient air, the relative and absolute humidity, the level of ultraviolet radiation and atmospheric pressure. The wind speed remains somewhere in the background, although this parameter of the atmosphere is present in almost all archives of meteorological stations, even in the most remote corners of the planet, i.e. it is "within easy reach".

Not always, not everyone and not everywhere noted the influence of wind speed on the COVID-19 dynamics, or this influence was recognized as not worthy of attention.

Islam N et al. (University of Cambridge, UK, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA), studying the problem of atmospheric influence on the dynamics of COVID-19, using data from 206 countries, found no connection between COVID-19 and wind speed [1]. Neither did Jinhua Pan et al. (Fudan University, China) find any connection between morbidity and wind speed in the eight countries they had studied [2]. There was no connection between the number of incidents of SARSCoV-2 and wind speed recorded in Australia by Michael P. Ward et al. (University of Sydney, Australia) [3]. Similar results were obtained in New York by Muhammad Farhan Bashir et al. (Central South University, China) [4] and in West Java and Indonesia by Ramadhan Tosepu et al. [5].

Soumyabrata Bhattacharjee (Assam Royal Global University, India) was able to detect only a very insignificant connection of new COVID-19 cases with wind speed in the most affected provinces of China and Italy [6]. A very weak correlation was found by Moges Massey et al. (University of South-Eastern Norway) in the capital of Norway [7], Massimiliano Fazzini et al. (University of Chieti-Pescara, Italy) in Lombardy (Northern Italy), where the world's largest official mortality rate due to the COVID-19 pandemic was recorded [8], and Kousik Das et al. (Vidyasagar University, India) in India [9].

Для Цитирования:
Krivosheev Vladimir Vasilievich, Stolyarov Artem Igorevich, Nikitina Lidiya Ur'evna, Impact of wind speed on the COVID-19 incidence rate in the world. Санитарный врач. 2021;11.
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